Who Should Rule (Confucian democracy) · Episode 7 · 31-min read

Maybe it was never a deciding-machine

Transcript · audio coming

Consider how we judge democracy. We judge it by its results. When an election produces a government we can live with, part of us thinks: good, it worked. When it produces one we think is a disaster, we think: it failed, it is broken. A budget passes that helps people — the system worked. A bad law gets through — the system is broken. We judge democracy the way we judge any tool: it has a job to do, which is to produce good decisions, and we grade it on whether the decisions coming out of it are any good.

And why not. That is what this argument has been about for six weeks: whose hands the deciding belongs in — yours, everyone's, or the cultivated few's. We have been arguing, hard, about who should be doing the deciding. We never stopped to ask the stranger question underneath the argument, the one in plain sight the whole time. Not who should do the deciding. Whether the point of the thing was ever to decide at all.

Here is what no one in the argument noticed they were agreeing on. The person who says "let the experts decide" and the person who says "no, we decide together" disagree about almost everything — but they agree completely that the point of it is to decide. That politics is there to produce outcomes, and the only real question is how to get good ones. Tonight a voice refuses that. He says everyone has been arguing about who should operate a thing whose point was never simply to produce decisions — and that once you see it, the question you walked in with does not get an answer. It stops being the only question there is.

This is Philosophy for Us — philosophy for everyone, no degree required.

This is the seventh of eight episodes on the oldest question there is about power: who should rule. Last week we took your refusal — no one decides for me without my say — and followed it out of politics entirely, until it came to rest in something unexpected: two rival pictures of what a person fundamentally is, one beneath each side of the argument, with no way to settle the politics without quietly settling that. We examined both pictures and crowned neither.

Tonight we do something different. We do not go deeper; we step back — far enough to see what the whole six weeks has rested on, the assumption so basic that no voice in this argument, not Brennan, not the Confucian, not Christiano, not you, thought to check it: that ruling is a matter of deciding, and democracy is the thing that does the deciding. A third tradition refuses that. To see how it can, we will trace one small word, rule, back to where it came from, and find that "who should rule?" is not the neutral question it seems. It was built. It has a history. And it builds its own answer in before you open your mouth.

Let us look at the agreement first, because once it is in view the whole argument runs through it.

Go back over the six weeks. We brought in a serious philosopher who said the voters are not competent to run a country and we should stop pretending they are — Brennan, with the ship of state: you would not seat an ignorant jury, so why seat an ignorant electorate. We brought in a whole tradition that met that worry with a real programme — cultivate the judges, test them, put the gravest decisions in the most carefully formed hands. We brought in the other side, which said no: the authority does not come from getting it right, it comes from our equal standing, and a wise ruler who decides for us, however well, wrongs us anyway. And we brought in you, with your two recoils — the voters are hopeless, myself included, and no one rules me without my say.

Four positions, and they fought. They disagreed about competence, about expertise, about whether your equal say is worth the decisions it costs you. They disagreed about what a person even is. About as far apart as four answers can be.

Now notice what every one of them took for granted. Every one — Brennan, the Confucian, the democrat, you — agreed that the task in front of us is to produce a decision. That there is a country to be run, calls to be made, wars and budgets and courts coming down the line, and the political question is whose judgment should be steering it: the expert's, or everyone's; the competent few, or the equal many. They were arguing about who should be doing the deciding. Not one of them stopped to ask whether deciding was fundamentally what politics was for.

That is the agreement. Think of politics as a device that takes in the situation of a people and produces a decision — this law, that war, this budget. For six weeks the whole argument has been about who should operate it. And there are only two kinds of answer you can give, which is why the argument kept returning to the same shape however we came at it.

The first kind says the right to operate it belongs to whoever can operate it best. Rule should go to the one competent to produce good decisions — the expert, the cultivated, the one who knows. Call that the fitness answer. It is Brennan's answer and the Confucian's answer, and, as we will see shortly, it is much older than either. The right to run the thing is earned by being good at running it.

The second kind says no: the right belongs to the people it is being run on. It does not matter how well an expert could do it; it is our common life that comes out of it, so the decision has to issue from us, from our equal authority, even when we do it worse than the expert would. Call that the authorization answer. It is Christiano's answer, and Anderson's, and underneath everything it is yours — the one your no rests on.

And here is the point the episode turns on. Those two answers look like opposites. They look like the whole range of possible views — fitness at one end, authorization at the other, and every real political position somewhere on the line between. But they are not opposite ends of anything. They are two answers to the same question: who should do the deciding, the able or the affected. They rest on one shared assumption, which neither of them says out loud — that politics is fundamentally a device for producing decisions, and that the only thing worth arguing about is who should operate it.

Remove that assumption — and we will spend tonight removing it — and the fitness answer and the authorization answer do not get a referee. They are exposed as two versions of one question: two ways of answering a question that someone, at some point, decided to ask in that form, and that you have inherited so completely you take it for the shape of reality.

Let me give you something to hold the whole way through, small enough to actually carry. Set the country aside. Picture a house — six people sharing it, a real household, with rent and a kitchen and a common pot of money, and every month a decision about what the common money goes on: repairs, or a better couch, or savings, or a party. Someone has to decide.

Run the fitness answer on the house. One of the six is simply better with money than the rest — sees three months ahead, rarely gets it wrong. The fitness answer says: let her decide. She will produce the best results; the right to choose is earned by being good at choosing. Notice how reasonable that sounds.

Now run the authorization answer on the same house. The other five say: absolutely not. It is our money, our home, our life. We would rather decide it together and sometimes get it wrong than hand the decision to the one who would get it right, because the point is that it is ours to decide. Notice how reasonable that sounds too — it is your no, in miniature.

Hold on to that house: six people, a pot of money, two reasonable answers. Because shortly a third person will come into that kitchen and say something that does not sit on the line between those two answers at all — and to see what he is saying, and why it is not a third opinion but a refusal of the question, we first have to find where the question came from. So that is where we go next: not to a new answer, but back to the word itself. Rule. Where did it come from, and what did we once mean by it?

Words have histories, and the history is usually hidden, because by the time a word reaches us it feels as though it was always there — as though it names something in the nature of things, rather than something a particular people, at a particular time, decided to say. Rule is one of those words. So let us do the slow thing and trace it, because the question you walked in with — who should rule? — turns out to be younger and stranger than it sounds.

Start at the root. Twenty-four centuries ago, in Athens, a man watched his city govern itself by a show of hands and was appalled. Plato. And the reason he was appalled should sound familiar by now — it is the same worry you have at two in the morning, twenty-four centuries earlier. He looked at the assembly — ordinary men voting on war, on grain, on the death of philosophers — and asked a question that has never gone away. When you are ill, he said, you do not put your treatment to a vote of your friends; you find a doctor, someone who knows. When you sail, you do not elect a captain by popularity; you want the one who can read the sea. Plato called it the ship of state. Picture a ship where the crew, none of whom can navigate, push the one man who can away from the helm and fight for it by force and flattery, each certain he should steer though not one has studied the stars. That, said Plato, is democracy. And the answer to it is plain, and it is the oldest answer there is to the question who should rule: the one who knows. Rule belongs to the fit — to the wise, to the person whose character and judgment have been formed until they can see what the rest of us cannot. Authority comes down from competence, the way the right to steer a ship comes down from knowing how to steer it.

Notice how total that is. For most of the history of the question this was not one position among several. It was the answer. Who should rule? The best. The Greek word for "the best" is the root of a word we still use — aristocracy, rule by the best — and before it was captured by bloodlines and inherited titles it meant exactly what it says: rule by the most excellent, the most fit to command. The assumption throughout was that ruling is a kind of expertise, like medicine or navigation, and the only sensible thing to do with an expertise is to give it to the expert.

So understand what that makes Brennan, and the Confucian meritocrat, and every voice in this argument who said the competent should decide. They are not radicals. They are not breaking with the tradition. They are the original tradition — the oldest and most obvious answer to who should rule, the one the question was more or less invented to receive. Rule by the qualified is not the deviation. It is the default the whole thing began from.

Which raises a question you should already be asking. If "let the one who knows decide" is the original answer — if for most of recorded history the obvious thing was that authority comes down from competence — then where did your answer come from? Because your answer is the opposite one. Your answer is: it does not matter how much he knows, he is not my ruler unless I say so. Authority comes up, from the consent of the ruled, not down, from the qualities of the ruler. That looks to you like plain common sense, the obvious foundation of political life. It is not. It is a late arrival — one of the most radical reversals in the history of the West, and it has a date.

Somewhere in the last four hundred years — in the social-contract thinkers, in the revolutions that quoted them, in the slow argument that legitimate power comes from the agreement of the governed — the answer to "who should rule?" was relocated. And I want to be exact about that word, because everything tonight depends on it. The new thinkers did not examine the old question more carefully and find the true answer. They changed the subject. The old question was: who is fit to command? The new answer does not answer that question better — it declines to answer it at all, and puts a different question in its place: not who is fit, but who is entitled. Not whose judgment is best, but from whom the authority must issue to be legitimate at all. That is not a discovery. It is a replacement. It took out the thing being measured — competence — and put in a new thing — consent — and then, over a few centuries, made the exchange so complete that you, sitting here, cannot see it as an exchange. You take it for the truth.

And here is the part that should be uncomfortable, because it is even-handed and it does not spare you. We spent three weeks watching a serious philosopher tell you that your democratic faith was an inheritance you had never examined. Fair enough. But the fitness answer you recoil from is not some new and dangerous idea creeping in to threaten the natural order. It is the old order — the one you never actually retired, the one you reach for every time you call the voters hopeless. And your no — the authorization answer, "not unless I say so" — is not the natural order it threatens. It is the newcomer. It is the four-hundred-year-old reversal you have mistaken for solid ground. You are not defending an ancient and obvious truth against a modern provocation. You are defending one particular, datable step — a bold one, perhaps the right one, but a step someone took — against the answer that was the answer for two thousand years before it.

So look at what we have. Two answers to who should rule, and we can date them both. The old one: rule by the fit, authority coming down from competence. The new one: rule by the authorized, authority coming up from consent. And the moment we can date them — the moment we can see that one replaced the other, that the second changed the subject the first was answering — we can see the thing they have in common, the thing that survived the replacement untouched. Both of them, old and new, take it entirely for granted that the question is who should run the country. That there is a ruler and a ruled. That politics is the business of someone deciding for a people, and the one thing four hundred years of revolution managed to change was who. The frame held. We changed the filling and kept the frame.

And it is exactly that frame — not the old filling, not the new one, but the assumption they share — that a third voice is about to come into the kitchen and refuse.

Now the third person comes into the kitchen.

His name is John Dewey — an American, writing a hundred years ago, the most influential philosopher his country has produced, and, for our purposes, the one voice in this argument who refuses the terms everyone else has accepted. He listens to the household argue about the pot of money. He hears the one who says let the best decider decide. He hears the five who say no, it is ours to decide together. And he says something that, the first time you hear it, sounds almost like a non-answer, as though he had wandered into the wrong conversation. He says: you are both assuming the point of this house is to produce good decisions about money. What if that was never the point?

Let me draw that out, because it is easy to hear it as soft and it is not soft at all. Dewey looks at the whole frame we have just traced — the fitness answer, the authorization answer, the two-thousand-year argument about who should run the country — and says the argument follows from a mistake, and the mistake is in the word run. We have pictured politics as a mechanism for producing decisions, and once we picture it that way, of course the only question left is who should be operating it; the picture builds that question in. But democracy, Dewey says, was never best understood as a device for producing decisions at all. His own phrase for what it is — and I will give it to you in his words, because the words are doing exact work — is that democracy is "a mode of associated living, of conjoint communicated experience." A mode of associated living. That is from a book he wrote in 1916 — and the book is about education, not government. That is the giveaway.

Here is what he means, in plainer words. For Dewey a democracy is not, first of all, a device that takes in a problem and puts out a law. It is a way that people live together — the condition under which people develop, grow, become more than they were, by taking part in shaping the common world they share. The shared deciding is not a cost you pay to reach a good outcome. The shared deciding is the thing itself. When people argue it out, have to listen to one another, have to live with the people they disagreed with, have to be changed by the encounter — that is the good a democracy produces. Not the budget. The people. A polity, on this account, is judged not by whether its decisions are correct but by whether the people in it are growing into fuller, freer, more capable versions of themselves through their part in the common life.

See what that does to our two answers. Both of them — fitness and authorization — agreed the goal is a good decision, and only fought over how to reach one. The fitness answer says hand the deciding to the expert and you will get better decisions. Dewey turns to that answer and says something quietly hard: yes, the expert might decide better — and a household, or a country, that quietly let its most competent member make all the calls would be efficient, and it would have stopped being a shared life. The five who insisted on deciding together, even badly, were not being sentimental, and they were not merely protecting their authority. They were holding on to the one thing that makes it a home rather than a well-run institution that happens to contain them. Hand the deciding to the one who knows best and you may get better outcomes, and you will have dissolved the very thing — the shared life — the house was for.

So bring it back to the house, and let me set the three of them side by side on it — briefly, because the run that counts is the one you do later, on your own life, not the one you watch here.

One. The fitness answer. The one who is best with money decides; you judge the house by whether the money is spent well. Notice that this can be true — she really might spend it better than the rest could.

Two. The authorization answer. It is everyone's money, so the decision has to come from everyone, even when together you get it wrong; you judge the house by whether the deciding belonged to all of you. Notice that this can also be true — it really is your home, and not hers to run.

Three. Now Dewey's question, which does not sit on the line between the other two. He asks: what was the house for? And if part of the answer is that six people sharing a life are meant to become something to one another — to argue, to give way, to be shaped by living with people they did not choose — then a house that handed every decision to its most competent member would have the cleanest finances and would no longer be a shared life at all. On this third account you do not judge the house by the quality of its decisions, and you do not judge it by who got to make them. You judge it by what the sharing of the decision did to the people sharing it.

And here is the point that keeps this open rather than closing it. The third question is not a better answer to the first two. It is not "so the deciding does not matter, only the growing." Dewey is not handing you the way out of the argument you have been in for six weeks. He is doing something stranger and harder: he is telling you the argument was carried out on terms that only two of the three questions even accept. You now hold three. The competent should do the deciding. We should all do the deciding together. And: maybe deciding was never the point, and "who should do it" was the wrong question all along. Three frames. And you cannot rank them, because the first two ask who should decide, and the third asks whether deciding was ever what this was about. You cannot set them on a single line, best to worst, because they are not answering the same question. That is not relief. That is one more thing to hold, and not one you can set down.

And before you decide the third question is obviously the wise one — the grown-up one, the one that sees what the other two missed — you should know that Dewey does not get to leave the kitchen unchallenged. Someone is already in the room with a hard, cold objection to everything he has said, and it is the objection that turns out to be the source of every expert-knows-best argument in this series. That is where we go next.

The objection has a name too, and it is not some minor figure brought in to test Dewey. It is the man Dewey actually argued with, in public, a century ago — and their argument is, quietly, the argument this whole series has been having. His name is Walter Lippmann, and you have already met everyone who came after him without knowing it.

Lippmann was a journalist, the most influential of his age, and he had watched democracy at close range — watched propaganda move millions during the First World War, watched ordinary citizens form confident opinions about places they could not find on a map and policies they had read one headline about. In two books in the nineteen-twenties — Public Opinion, in 1922, and The Phantom Public, in 1925 — he said the quiet thing out loud. The picture democracy runs on, he said, is a fairy tale. It imagines what he called the omnicompetent citizen — a person who follows every issue, masters the facts, weighs the options, and casts a considered vote. That person does not exist and cannot exist. No one has the hours, the expertise, or the attention to be competent across war and trade and medicine and law and finance all at once. The real public, Lippmann said — and here is the phrase that outlived him — is a bewildered herd. Not stupid. Bewildered. Overwhelmed by a world too large and too complicated to hold in one head.

And notice where that goes, because you have heard it before. If the citizen cannot actually master the issues, then asking the public to govern is asking it to do something it cannot do — and the result is not self-rule, it is rule by whoever is best at moving the herd. The realistic job of the public, Lippmann concluded, is not to do the governing. It is, now and then, to deliver a crude verdict — yes or no, more or less — and remove those who have plainly failed. The actual governing, the day-to-day handling of a world too complex to master, has to belong to those who can do it: the experts, the people who have made it their work to know.

You should recognise that voice, because we have been listening to its descendants for six weeks. Lippmann is the source of Brennan — the voters are not competent, stop pretending. He is the source of every technocrat at every dinner table who says the grown-ups should simply handle it. The bewildered herd is Plato's ship of state again, restated for the modern state. And Lippmann aims all of it straight at Dewey, because Dewey is the one calling for more participation, fuller sharing in the common life. Lippmann's reply is blunt and simple: that is a fine idea for a New England town meeting, and a fantasy for a nation of millions. You cannot grow your way to competence about the federal budget by arguing harder with your neighbours. The complexity is real. The overwhelmed public is real. Wanting it otherwise does not make the citizen competent across everything; it just hands the public to whoever is best at leading it.

So Dewey has to answer, and his answer is the core of the quarrel, and I will give it to you plainly. Dewey does not deny that the public is overwhelmed. He grants it. What he denies is Lippmann's conclusion — that the remedy is to take the deciding away and give it to the experts. Because, Dewey says, look at what that does to people. A public that is managed — handled, decided for, treated as a herd to be led by those who know better — does not stay the same public that merely receives better outcomes. It is deformed by being managed. It loses the very capacities that taking part would have grown in it. Treat people as a bewildered herd and you will get a bewildered herd; relieve them of the work of governing themselves and you will produce exactly the incompetent public that justified relieving them of it. There is an old saying that the cure for the ills of democracy is more democracy, and Dewey takes it up — but carefully, not as a slogan. He does not mean hold more votes. He means the failures of shared self-rule are not repaired by less of it, by handing the governing to the competent, because that handing-over is itself what strips a people of the capacity to govern. The only thing that develops a public able to govern itself is the actual practice of governing itself, mess and all.

And now — this is the part I will not soften, because the honesty of the whole thing depends on not softening it — Lippmann gets the last word in the room, and he is not knocked down. He listens to Dewey's answer and says: that is a moving hope, and it does not hold at scale. Perhaps self-rule grows people in a town of three thousand. We are not a town of three thousand. We are hundreds of millions, deciding pandemics and currencies and wars whose details no amount of neighbourly participation will ever make a citizen competent to judge. Your shared life, Dewey, is the right description of a household and a false hope about a superpower. At this size the deciding is not a place where people are improved. It is just the deciding — and it had better be done well, by someone who actually understands it, because the cost of doing it badly is counted in lives. The growth of persons is a luxury of the small. The hard work of deciding is the reality of the large.

I cannot break that for you. I have tried, honestly, and the most I can do is make both of them undeniable at once. Dewey is right that managing a people deforms it — you can watch it happen; a citizenry that is never trusted to decide does become less able to decide. And Lippmann is right that at the scale of a modern state the deciding is real and brutal and cannot wait for everyone to grow, and that "more participation" can be a way of avoiding how hard the actual problems are. They are both right, and they want opposite things, and there is no higher ground I can take you to from which one of them simply wins.

So do not reach for the easy way out that is forming now — the thought that says, well then, it is all just how you frame it; there is no real question here, only different pictures, so take your pick. No. That is the laziest reading available, and it is the one I am here to refuse. Tracing the word did not show you the question is fake. It showed you the question is one real framing with live rivals — and that makes the choice harder, not softer. The competent really might rule you better. It really might be yours to decide regardless. And it might really be true that treating politics as nothing but a device for producing decisions deforms the people it is run on. Three things, all with weight, all pulling against one another, and not one of them dissolves the other two by being stated. This is not a preference you settle by taste. You have to live, somehow, holding three frames that will not be ranked or merged — and with a man who has just told you that at the scale you actually live at, the third is a comfort you cannot afford.

So here is the thing you leave with tonight that you did not arrive with, and it is not a small thing.

You walked in holding a question — who should rule? — as though it had exactly two possible answers: the competent on one side, all of us on the other, and the only task was to choose between them. You leave knowing there are three, and that the third does not sit opposite either of the others, because it is not answering the same question. The competent should do the deciding. We should all do the deciding together. And: maybe deciding was never the point, and the argument over who should do it was the wrong argument. Three frames. And here is what is permanent now, what you cannot give back: you have seen that the question itself — who should rule? — is not the neutral ground the answers compete on. It is one of the contestants. It was built, in a particular place, at a particular time; it smuggles in its own assumption — that there is a ruler and a ruled, that politics is someone deciding for a people — before you have said a word. You can still ask it. You can no longer mistake it for the shape of the world.

Now let me be just as plain about what you did not get. You did not get a winner. You did not even get the relief you were quietly hoping for in the last hour — Dewey arriving to dissolve the whole miserable deadlock, to tell you the argument was a mistake and you can put it down now. He does not get to do that, and I worked hard tonight to see that he could not. Of the three frames, the one to be most careful with is his — precisely because it is the most flattering, the one that lets you sound wise and above the fray. Because Lippmann never left the room. At the scale of a household, Dewey is plainly right that the sharing is the point and that managing people deforms them. At the scale of a nation, Lippmann is plainly right that the deciding is real and brutal and someone had better do it well. Both. At once. The third frame does not rise above the other two. It joins them, and now there are three things you cannot reconcile instead of two.

This is the seventh of eight. Nothing became more certain tonight. You came in able to argue about who should rule. You leave unable to be sure the question was the right one to be arguing — and still unable to stop needing an answer to it, because you live in a country of millions where, Dewey or no Dewey, the deciding does not wait.

So here is where we go next, and I will say it plainly, because next week is the last. No new voice comes into the room. We have heard them all now — the competent, the equal, the pragmatist, the overwhelmed public. Next week we stop adding frames. We take everything on the table — the two questions your one question came apart into, the two pictures of yourself beneath them, the three frames you cannot rank — and hand the whole thing back to you, sharpened to its hardest form. I will not give you a regime. I will not give you a ranking. I will give you the question with the easy answers removed, and then it is yours. That is the last episode: the handing-back.

But before then, put tonight to work in your own life, because it makes no difference until you do. Go back to the house. Six people, one pot of money, the decision every month. Run it all three ways, slowly, in your own kitchen. First: let the one who is best with money decide, and judge the house by the money. Notice how sensible that is. Then: keep the decision with all six, even when you get it wrong, because it is your shared life and not hers to run. Notice how right that is too. And then the third, which does not sit between the other two: ask what the house is even for — and do not let me answer it for you, because the answer is exactly what is in dispute. There is a version of you that asks it and thinks yes, that is the real question, the money was never the point. And there is a version that asks it and thinks that is what people say when they want out of the hard arithmetic of actually deciding the money. Both are in you. The third frame is not a wiser opinion you get to adopt; it is a question you have to earn or refuse. Run all three and find out which you do.

And then the harder half — and I will not let you take only the comfortable part of it. When you argue about your own shared life — your house, your team, your town, your country — which question have you actually been asking, all this time, without knowing you were choosing? Who should decide? Or: what is the deciding doing to the people who share it? Because those are not the same question, and you answer one of them every time you let the capable person handle it, every time you insist on hashing it out together though it takes all night, and every time you sense, without words, that a thing run well by one of you has stopped being shared. You have been answering it your whole life. You have just never once said which question it was — or whether you could defend the choice, out loud, to someone who made the other one.

So carry that into the week. Not an answer — three of them, and no way to stack them on top of one another. That the ablest among you might genuinely decide it best. That it might be yours to decide regardless, and decide badly. And that the deciding might not have been the point at all — though the moment you reach for that last one, a hard voice answers that it is a comfort no one running a real country can afford. For the rest of your life, when you reach for "who should decide this," you are going to hear all three, and you will not be able to quiet any of them, because each has a case and not one of them gets the last word.

Thanks for listening. I'll see you next time.

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